Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 28.392119 32.266895 36.497456 41.462748 47.135320 53.419123 60.915405
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 23.965191 29.280274 35.530401 43.436138 53.190139 64.857264 79.912406
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 20.759621 27.079192 35.027592 45.792063 60.044121 78.342363 103.740269
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 17.837708 24.730513 33.961961 47.292521 66.158047 92.063150 130.613008
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 15.935026 23.409086 34.035653 50.352678 74.972671 111.047740 168.493429
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.888048 21.538323 33.043186 51.762774 81.776631 128.561097 208.054723
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.759200 19.180764 30.941645 51.146669 85.449732 142.142433 244.606731
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 10.153382 17.371415 29.391963 51.140575 90.141459 158.325463 289.131310
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.218438 16.517421 29.272116 53.542591 99.458369 184.286278 356.888031
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.496339 15.911107 29.479721 56.583139 110.579432 215.822365 442.613229
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.628024 14.886474 28.754708 57.749135 118.398941 242.755296 525.772114
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.661484 13.507692 27.124021 56.830395 121.874632 261.752299 596.948904
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.750652 12.112371 25.280208 55.255355 123.960506 278.959226 670.246816
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.111091 11.173612 24.223428 55.200245 129.486136 305.229363 772.518923
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.629332 10.494200 23.610547 56.049008 137.375941 339.006529 903.416673
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.161005 9.763541 22.757955 56.180231 143.623262 370.416752 1037.614416
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.880419 9.423739 22.757196 58.426546 155.836285 420.238793 1238.257096
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.534124 8.863367 22.126504 58.943880 163.637554 460.311718 1423.174480
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.128680 8.083342 20.809661 57.370631 165.324729 483.790807 1564.838249
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.817411 7.493497 19.880702 56.685756 169.459910 515.604155 1744.008169
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.656307 7.278758 19.918823 58.802448 182.598269 578.535113 2050.234049
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.535831 7.155687 20.190619 61.691245 198.939369 656.257574 2436.629618
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.356629 6.833737 19.839157 62.594360 209.107996 716.416689 2779.341386